the accumulation of small risks

a simple plot that informs how i make decisions


December 12, 2023

When we take small risks repeatedly, that risk accumulates, and it can accumulate surprisingly quickly.

I find myself referring back to this figure on a regular basis.

If you want to toy around with the numbers and make your own figure, you should be able to do that by changing the values in the p_event and time variables below and then hitting the Run Code button.